Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Eliakim Coulibaly Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Who has the edge on second serve points in recent matches? Eliakim Coulibaly, with 44.46% of second serve points won, slightly outperforms Pablo Carreno-Busta, who has won 44.37%.
• In terms of returning second serves, Eliakim Coulibaly surpasses Pablo Carreno-Busta, winning 49.22% compared to Carreno-Busta's 46.14%.
• However, when it comes to first serve returns, Pablo Carreno-Busta edges out Eliakim Coulibaly with 26.69% compared to Coulibaly's 25.41%.
• How do they perform under pressure when saving breakpoints? Pablo Carreno-Busta saves 55.56% of breakpoints, showing better composure than Eliakim Coulibaly, who saves 49.08%.
• In the past year, Eliakim Coulibaly has a higher match win percentage of 63.64%, compared to Pablo Carreno-Busta’s 55.00%, indicating better overall performance.
• Regarding surface preference, Pablo Carreno-Busta excels on clay, winning 66% of his matches, whereas Eliakim Coulibaly performs best on hard courts with a 66% win rate.
• For tournament levels over the last year, Pablo Carreno-Busta competes chiefly in Challengers/ITF > $10K events, with a 72.41% win rate, compared to Coulibaly’s 58.82%.
• Considering opponents' average rank, Carreno-Busta takes on tougher competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 177.12, contrasted with Coulibaly's 385.02 average rank.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Eliakim Coulibaly shows resilience, winning 73% of deciding sets, while Carreno-Busta has won 39% in similar scenarios.

Editorial Prediction (October 1, 2025, UTC):

This match showcases two players with strong skills but distinct areas of advantage. While Eliakim Coulibaly has a slight edge in second serve performance and excelling in converting second serve returns, indicating a formidable return game, Pablo Carreno-Busta demonstrates better capabilities in first serve returns and handling breakpoint situations, a key strength during high-pressure moments.

Coulibaly’s higher match win percentage over the past year, combined with his remarkable performance in deciding sets, paints the picture of a player in excellent form. Nonetheless, Carreno-Busta often plays against more challenging opponents, potentially leveling the playing field if the match goes down to raw experience and tenacity.

While Pablo Carreno-Busta's substantial experience on the clay court could be beneficial if the match is held on such a surface, it is Eliakim Coulibaly's commanding presence in hard court scenarios and general adaptability across surfaces that seem more promising for the given matchup.

In conclusion, Eliakim Coulibaly, with his superior recent form, extensive success in crucial deciding sets, and balanced gameplay, is more likely to prevail in this upcoming tennis match.